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Bundesliga: Augsburg Stadium Goals to be at a Premium

December 2, 2016

Four of Augsburg six home games this season have gone under 2.5 goals.

It is the 13th round of the German Bundesliga and one hopes that waiting for Augsburg and Frankfurt to clash in its last game will not be unlucky from a punting perspective.

Augsburg’s 12 German Bundesliga games have had a league-low 24 goals and seven of them have gone under two and a half goals, including four of the six matches played at the Augsburg Arena. Only Wolfsburg has scored fewer German Bundesliga home goals than Augsburg and the Fuggerstadter have not treated their supporters to two or more goals in any of their half a dozen games on their own pitch.

Frankfurt is fourth on the German Bundesliga ladder and its high position owes much to its defensive numbers away from home. Frankfurt has conceded just three goals in its six German Bundesliga road matches and four of those games have gone under two and a half goals. And, irrespective of venue, Frankfurt’s 12 German Bundesliga matches have featured the fewest shots on target – 147 for and 112 against.

The bet that stands out in Sunday’s German Bundesliga match between Augsburg and Frankfurt is under two and a half goals at odds of 1.67Bet €100 to win €16767/100Bet £100 to win £167-149Bet $100 to win $1670.67Bet HK$100 to win HK$167-1.49Bet Rp100 to win Rp1670.6700Bet RM100 to win RM167  with Marathonbet, a bookmaker that likes to offer generous prices about statistically sound wagers.

Augsburg and Frankfurt locked horns in the German Bundesliga last season and both meetings went under two and a half goals, including a 0-0 draw at the Augsburg Stadium.

The German Bundesliga round kicks off with a Friday fixture between Mainz and Bayern Munchen that one thinks the latter will win with something to spare. It is not often that one can get close to even money about Bayern winning a German Bundesliga game after leading at half time so one is going to take a chance on that outcome at odds of 1.91Bet €100 to win €19191/100Bet £100 to win £191-110Bet $100 to win $1910.91Bet HK$100 to win HK$191-1.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp1910.9100Bet RM100 to win RM191  with Coral.

Mainz is on the top half of the German Bundesliga ladder but it has not beaten any side ranked higher than 11th, posting a record of 0-1-5 versus teams positioned in the top 10.

Twelve rounds into the German Bundesliga season and Mainz and Bayern Munchen have faced eight common foes. According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Bayern leads Mainz 4-4-0 so it is difficult to make a case for anything other than an away victory. Bayern is the all-round package, whereas Mainz can score goals but not defend well.

Mainz created one of last season’s biggest German Bundesliga upsets when it rebounded from losing 0-3 at home to Bayern Munchen to win the reverse fixture 2-1. Bayern has changed coach but most of its players remember the embarrassment of losing 1-2 at home to Mainz in March. Revenge is a powerful motivator and one hopes that Bayern goes for Mainz’s throat.

Finally, one likes the odds of 1.50Bet €100 to win €1501/2Bet £100 to win £150-200Bet $100 to win $1500.50Bet HK$100 to win HK$150-2.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp1500.5000Bet RM100 to win RM150  available with several bookmakers, including BetVictor and Coral, about Dortmund winning its Borussia derby against Monchengladbach.

Dortmund has not set alight the German Bundesliga this term but it is 4-2-0 at home, including defeating Bayern Munchen 1-0. Dortmund may be off the German Bundesliga in seventh place but it is six rungs above Monchengladbach on the ladder because the Foals are really struggling.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Dortmund and Monchengladbach have had eight common opponents and BVB boasts a 5-1-2 advantage over the Foals, which is sufficient for one to be in their camp on Saturday.

Tips Summary

Augsburg v Frankfurt – Under 2.5 Goals
Sunday 4th December, 16:30 GMT
Odds: 1.67Bet €100 to win €16767/100Bet £100 to win £167-149Bet $100 to win $1670.67Bet HK$100 to win HK$167-1.49Bet Rp100 to win Rp1670.6700Bet RM100 to win RM167

Bayern Munich HT/FT Double Result
Friday 2nd December, 19:30 GMT
Odds: 1.91Bet €100 to win €19191/100Bet £100 to win £191-110Bet $100 to win $1910.91Bet HK$100 to win HK$191-1.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp1910.9100Bet RM100 to win RM191

Dortmund to beat Monchengladbach
Saturday 3rd December, 14:30 GMT
Odds: 1.50Bet €100 to win €1501/2Bet £100 to win £150-200Bet $100 to win $1500.50Bet HK$100 to win HK$150-2.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp1500.5000Bet RM100 to win RM150

  • Augsburg
  • Bayern Munich
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Bundesliga
  • Frankfurt

    About the author

    Eric Roberts
    Eric Roberts

    Sports Journalist

    Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.